Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

Bond investors are sticking with a popular wager that U.S. interest rates will fall further in 2026, keeping pressure on ...

Treasury yields were little changed, with data, geopolitics and monetary policy expectations remaining the key inputs.

With the Fed potentially nearing the end of its rate-cutting cycle, 2026 is likely to bring continued steepening of the ...

Watch the yield curve, says Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive and chief investment officer at DoubleLine. (FRED) "My fear," said Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive and chief investment officer at ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

Rising inflation expectations and concerns over the Federal Reserve’s independence are shaping the U.S. bond market.

The US fixed-income markets extended their positive trajectory into 2025’s final quarter. The Morningstar US Core Bond Index, a proxy for the US-dollar-denominated investment-grade bond market, ...